Time of Use and Dynamic Pricing Rates in the US
In the fourth and final instalment of our November Topic of the Month with FSR Global: Unravelling the nuances of Dynamic Tariffs for electricity retail, Ahmad Faruqui shares his insights on Time of Use and Dynamic Pricing Rates in the US.
November Topic of the Month: Unravelling the nuances of Dynamic Tariffs for electricity retail
Instalment 1: Implementing Dynamic Tariffs for Electricity Retail: Choices and Barriers
Instalment 2: The Spanish experience with dynamic tariffs
Instalment 3: The Swedish Experience with Dynamic Retail Tariffs
Instalment 4: Time of Use and Dynamic Pricing Rates in the US
For decades, electricity consumers in the United States have paid for electricity through rates in which the price of power does not vary across time. That practice is beginning to change.
Time of Use and Dynamic Pricing Rates in the US
US interest in time-of-use (TOU) rates was triggered by the passage of the PURPA legislation in 1978 during the Jimmy Carter presidency. Under the auspices of the Federal Energy Administration (later the Department of Energy), a number of TOU pilots were conducted. They provided clear evidence of customer response.
TOU rates required interval meters which customers had to pay for. Also, a lot of myths evolved about how customers would be harmed by TOU rates. Thus, the number of customers on TOU rates was small.
In the early 1990s, California tested a more advanced rate design involving critical-peak pricing. The “critical” price was called a day in advance when a supply shortage was imminent. But the deployment of this simple form of dynamic pricing remained limited.
Time-varying rates received a major boost when the newly restructured market in California was roiled by an energy crisis in 2000-01. California’s three investor-owned utilities carried out a statewide pricing pilot which measured customer response to TOU rates and CPP rates. The TOU rate had a ratio of 2:1 between peak and off-peak prices. It reduced peak loads by 5%. The CPP rate had a ratio of 5:1 between peak and off-peak prices. It reduced peak loads by 13%. The results were conclusive.
The three utilities were given permission to deploy smart meters to lower distribution costs and to enable dynamic pricing. The utilities proceeded to deploy smart meters but made a half-hearted effort to recruit customers onto dynamic pricing rates. Consumer advocates put up a wall of resistance by saying that dynamic pricing violated the precepts of social justice.
On guidance from the two regulatory bodies in the state, the utilities deployed critical-peak pricing rates as the default tariff for commercial and industrial customers who had previously been on mandatory TOU rates. Georgia Power has deployed real-time pricing for more than 2,000 commercial and industrial customers since the 1990s.
The application of time-varying rates began to be discussed as a missed opportunity at conferences around the country. (Many conferences have been recorded and some can be viewed. See REV Forum: Time-Variant Pricing; Advanced Rate Design Strategy (ARDS); Innovation in Energy Services; Smart meters and dynamic pricing.) Gradually, the transformative power of TOU rates for residential customers began to be recognized by utilities and regulators.
Implementation followed. Fort Collins in Colorado placed all its residential customers on mandatory TOU rates after piloting them for a year. SMUD, which serves the state capital of California, moved all its residential customers to TOU rates as the default tariff. The results in both instances have been very encouraging.
The investor-owned utilities in California have begun rolling out TOU rates as the default tariff. Public Service Company in Colorado, a subsidiary of Xcel Energy, has received permission to do the same, as has Consumers Energy in Michigan. These rollouts will take place over the next few years.
Meanwhile, Arizona Public Service Company has some 57% of its customers on opt-in TOU rates and the Salt River Project, also in Arizona, has nearly 30% of its customers on opt-in TOU rates.
Georgia Power and Ameren Missouri have been granted permission by their regulatory bodies to move ahead with opt-in deployment of TOU rates. Many other utilities in the US, including Evergy in Missouri, are planning to file applications with their state regulatory bodies to do the same.
Once all the default deployments have been completed, some 15% of all American households will be on TOU rates, up from 4% in 2018. The power of TOU rates has now been universally accepted. But transitions are never easy since customers with poor load factors will see higher bills right-away and will complain.
As for dynamic pricing, the best example currently is OGE’s variable-peak pricing program in Oklahoma. Nearly 90,000 customers are on this sophisticated form of critical peak pricing with multiple levels of peak period prices. Most of them have installed a smart thermostat provided by the utility. They have programmed their temperature settings in it, which vary by price level. In Illinois, some 50,000 customers are on real-time pricing.
In the future, we will see more utilities move toward dynamic as the supply-side resource mix becomes more variable and intermittent. Dynamic pricing will be the sine qua non for keeping demand and supply balance in real time to lower costs and to avoid blackouts.
More on Dynamic Tariffs
Watch the recording of the FSR Global online event: A Global View on Dynamic Tariffs or read FSR Global’s policy brief: “Dynamic retail electricity tariffs: choices and barriers”.