Workshop on the ex-ante assessment of emissions trading 2025

The annual workshop on ex-ante assessments of emissions trading is dedicated to the comparison of selected macroeconomic models simulating the development of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) and other major emissions trading schemes. This year’s edition will focus on the topic of carbon market integration. The workshop offers modellers the opportunity to network and compare both the properties and predictions of the models they work with.

This event is organised as part of the LIFE COASE project, which aims to support policy makers in the implementation and development of the EU ETS, including its integration with other carbon markets.

Programme

9:55 – 10:00 | Welcome

• Simone Borghesi (EUI, University of Siena)

10:00 – 11:00 | Overview of results from survey on ex-ante modelling of ETSs

• Sebastian Osorio (Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research)

11:00 – 11:25 | Coffee break

11:25 – 13:05 | Modelling economic implications of Article 6 and ETS linking – recent evidence

• ‘VIIEW on EU ETS 2050: Linking EU ETS with other carbon pricing mechanisms’, Jakub Boratyński (Cake/KOBiZE) 
• ‘Modelling the interplay between compliance and voluntary carbon markets: a case study of China’, Yan Qin (Clearblue Markets) 
• ‘Considerations for Washington’s linkage negotiations with California and Québec’, Nicholas Roy (Resources for the Future, USA)

13:05 – 14:00 | Lunch break

14:00 -15:15 | Open discussion on modelling of carbon market integration

15:15 – 15:30 | Conclusions